3 Comments

I think you are missing a key element: inflation. The longer-term growth I would bet is much lower if you put it in USD.

Expand full comment

Thanks for the reply and reaching out. I think this is correct. I looked at the BWP to the USD over the last ten years and it is down ~30%. Most of this has occurred since mid-2021 and I can't find general reasons why considering Botswana's economy has done so well and the political environment is about as good as it gets in Africa.

I was thinking that one could enter into swaps, but the BWP is a closed currency.

Would like to get your response to what I said if you get the chance.

Expand full comment

I linked to your post in my Monday emerging markets links post: https://emergingmarketskeptic.substack.com/p/emerging-markets-week-september-16-2024

Not sure how many investors can access this market though!

Expand full comment